Structure
Align governed observations by material, value-chain stage, territory and reference period without erasing their original definitions.
European strategic dependency intelligence
See pressure.
Understand the system.
indepEU turns fragmented territorial evidence into comparable, traceable intelligence for Europe's strategic priorities. Public authorities, businesses and investors can examine where Europe is under pressure, where evidence points to potential capability, and where further verification or intervention may be needed.
Territory× Time × Evidence
Social
Industry
Climate
Trade
Energy
Finance
European evidence is distributed across datasets, scales, periods and classifications that were not designed to speak to each other.
indepEU reads pressure, capability evidence and dependency within one territorial system.
How indepEU works
From fragmented territorial evidence to an actionable priority reading
The planned analytical framework distinguishes Pressure, Exposure, Sensitivity, Capacity and Response. The current demonstrator structures governed observations by territory, period, strategic dimension and domain, and applies deterministic peer-relative stress assessment. Sources, conversion rules, uncertainty and missing evidence remain visible.
Assess
Use transparent, direction-adjusted normalisation to compare compatible territories and build decomposable stress profiles.
Connect
Examine historical changes and documented interdependencies, while keeping correlation distinct from causality.
Inform
Make vulnerabilities, capability questions, evidence gaps and intervention priorities easier to examine through maps, comparisons and concise bulletins.
Public allocation
Support comparable investigation at European and national scale, with regional extension only where native-scale evidence is governed.
Private capital
Give investors and innovators a shared evidence base for resilience needs and opportunities.
Strategic sovereignty
Distinguish deliberate openness from unrecognised external dependency.
Twelve connected dimensions
Choose the lenses. Keep the relationships.
Users can combine the dimensions relevant to a territory or challenge. The result is not one permanent country score, but a contextual graph of comparable signals and related questions.
SocialEconomicEnvironmentalPolitical & institutional
Industrial & value chainTechnologicalEnergy & infrastructureHealth
Trade & external dependencyRegulatoryFinancialSecurity & resilience
Deep-tech methodology
Historical evidence first. Forward-looking intelligence next.
indepEU's deep-tech methodology combines a structured stress-modelling framework with temporal analysis and planned network-based AI to investigate European strategic dependencies across twelve dimensions: social; economic; environmental; political and institutional; industrial and value chain; technological; energy and infrastructure; health; trade and external dependency; regulatory; financial; and security and resilience.
The current release implements deterministic peer-relative assessment and produces historical and same-year stress profiles from governed observations. It exposes period, source and missingness through reproducible calculations; it does not produce forecasts or automated investment and policy recommendations.
Forward-looking stress indices, forecast dimension profiles, uncertainty estimates, explanatory indicators, supply-chain network analysis and scenario analysis are research objectives, not outputs claimed by the current demonstrator. Future temporal and network-based models will be tested chronologically and benchmarked against simpler models, beginning with the Critical Raw Materials value chain.
EIC priorities
One priority first. A platform designed to expand.
indepEU is being developed to address European strategic priorities through a shared territorial intelligence model. To test that model rigorously, the first release focuses on one EIC Challenge: Boosting the European Critical Raw Materials Value Chain. The other EIC lenses define the platform’s expansion path, but are not presented as active analytical pilots.
First release · active pilot
Boosting the European Critical Raw Materials Value Chain
Lithium provides the first bounded environment for testing how territorial, social, economic, environmental, industrial, technological and resilience stresses interact across Europe. Cobalt, nickel and graphite will follow.
Advanced Materials for Renewable Energy and Energy Storage Systems
Alternative Concepts and Key Enabling Technologies for Fusion Power Plants
Biotech for Regenerating Agricultural Soils
Our challenges in progress
Building intelligence across data that was never designed to work together
European territorial evidence differs by country, scale, period, classification, format and availability. The research programme addresses those differences before introducing advanced models: first by governing and harmonising the evidence, then by validating descriptive calculations, and only afterwards by testing predictive alternatives.
Data provenance
Record dataset identifiers, retrieval dates, coverage, methodological documentation and access conditions for every governed source.
Harmonisation and validation
Preserve original units and publication dates, distinguish missing values from zero, and test completeness, duplicates and discontinuities.
Methodological testing
Assess stress direction, normalisation, aggregation, redundancy and sensitivity before deciding which series support comparison or prediction.
AI model under development
Test temporal and network-based alternatives against persistence, regression and tree-based baselines, using chronological evaluation and human review.
Research commitment
Building a testable path from evidence to forward-looking intelligence
indepEU's research direction starts with the quality and meaning of the evidence, not with a preferred algorithm. Domain and quantitative research work together to establish which observations can support territorial comparison, which can support predictive testing and which must remain contextual.
Domain evidence
Domain research guides indicator selection and source assessment by testing conceptual relevance, historical availability and the documented relationship between each observation and the strategic priority.
Quantitative foundations
Quantitative research tests normalisation, aggregation and robustness, including stress direction, redundancy, sensitivity to modelling choices and independently reproduced calculations.
Predictive research
Only suitable historical series progress to chronological testing. Temporal and network-based models will be compared with persistence, regularised regression and gradient-boosted trees, with uncertainty and component-level contribution kept open to scrutiny.
Independent scrutiny
External review informs methodological refinement within its documented scope. Reproducibility, explanation stability and decision relevance are evaluated separately from model performance.
First testing geography
EU-27 country layer
The first comparable geography is the EU-27 country layer, where governed same-year indicators allow every reading to be positioned against a consistent European peer set. Regional, municipal and productive-district detail is added only where native-scale evidence exists, never by spreading national values across local areas.
First testing domain
Critical Raw Materials
Lithium is the first planned predictive-modelling application within the Critical Raw Materials value chain, followed by cobalt, nickel and graphite as data coverage and validation permit. The domain exposes links among external dependency, circularity, industrial processing, energy, regulation, investment and resilience without becoming indepEU's thematic limit.
Investor enquiries
Explore the next stage of European strategic intelligence
We welcome conversations with institutional, corporate, blended-finance and impact investors interested in data infrastructure, evidence-led resilience, validation of indepEU's analytical methods and development of its future predictive layers.
- Strategic investment and product development
- Pilot and co-investment opportunities
- Research, data and infrastructure partnerships
Read Europe differently
Start from evidence, then examine pressure and capability questions together.
Select territories and dimensions to explore a transparent graph, a European comparison and a concise contextual bulletin. Missing and non-comparable evidence stays visible.
Open the European stress map